16/02/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Sochaux vs Epinal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72
— our 27% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
23%
Draw
22%
17%
Away Win
17%
50%
Under 2.5
46%
50%
Over 2.5
54%
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
53%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sochaux v Epinal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sochaux
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Epinal
EU Bookmakers 20%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
2.32/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.97/1.70
+24%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
-8%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
422 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.8
Sochaux vs Epinal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Sochaux
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Epinal
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
08.09.2023
Epinal
0-3
HT 0-1
Sochaux
FR3
0-3
HT 0-1
Sochaux
FR3
POST-MATCH
Sochaux vs Epinal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Epinal nicked a narrow win over Sochaux 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Sochaux carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Sochaux vs Epinal?
Sochaux 0-1 Epinal in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Epinal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 60%, draw 23%, Epinal 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sochaux)
✓ BTTS No
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16 Feb 2024