Sochaux 0-1 Epinal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.25
X/1
17%
3.68
X/2
6%
11.55
X/X
9%
5.67
2/1
5%
22.45
2/2
6%
9.03
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Epinal EU Bookmakers 20%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.32/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.70
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Epinal
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.09.2023 Epinal Epinal 0-3 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Epinal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Epinal nicked a narrow win over Sochaux 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Sochaux carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Epinal?

Sochaux 0-1 Epinal in the France - National League 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Epinal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 60%, draw 23%, Epinal 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ BTTS No
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