Quevilly 2-1 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Aug 2024

Quevilly
2-1 HT 1-0
Dijon
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Quevilly vs Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.73
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
13%
5.56
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.94
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Quevilly v Dijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.21/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.74
-3% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Quevilly vs Dijon Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Dijon
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 371
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FRK
15.04.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 2-2 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
15.10.2022 Dijon Dijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
22.01.2022 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
14.08.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly nicked a narrow win over Dijon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Quevilly found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Quevilly had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Quevilly and 1.00 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Dijon?

Quevilly 2-1 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 38%, draw 26%, Dijon 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quevilly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quevilly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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