Nancy 3-0 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
40%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.5
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.97
X/X
8%
4.28
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.34
2/X
6%
13.95
Value flag · X/2 at 6.97 — our 18% vs market 10.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
40%
Away Win
26%
+13.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.79/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.01
+26% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-3 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
02.09.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
3-0
AWAY Concarneau
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy cruised past Concarneau 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Nancy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nancy had 45% of the ball to Concarneau's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nancy and 2.00 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Concarneau?

Nancy 3-0 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nancy 37%, draw 23%, Concarneau 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Concarneau), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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