Horsham 2-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.3pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsham EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 56%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.08
+150% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Horsham
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-0 HT 0-0 Horsham Horsham İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Horsham
2-1
AWAY Torquay United
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Horsham vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham nicked a narrow win over Torquay United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Horsham had 45% of the ball to Torquay United's 55%, shots finished 7-4.

What was the final score of Horsham vs Torquay United?

Horsham 2-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsham vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Horsham 23%, draw 30%, Torquay United 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torquay United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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