Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.31/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.35
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
12.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
12.03.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.11.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
06.02.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
09.01.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-0
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town beat Dorking Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 39% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 61%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 3.17 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 26%, draw 25%, Dorking Wanderers 49%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
23 Aug 2025
17:00 Hereford FC vs Chorley Analysis →
17:00 AFC Totton vs Maidstone United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Farnborough Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United Analysis →
17:00 Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
17:00 Horsham vs Torquay United Analysis →