Chelmsford City 2-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.56
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +28%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.08.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.01.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
23.08.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.01.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chelmsford City and 0.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town?

Chelmsford City 2-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 56%, draw 23%, Chippenham Town 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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