Hereford FC vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hereford FC v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Hereford FC vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Hereford FC
İCON
2-0
HT 0-0
Hereford FC
İCON
1-1
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
Hereford FC 1-4 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley ran out comfortable winners over Hereford FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Hereford FC had 58% of the ball to Chorley's 42%, shots finished 13-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hereford FC and 1.00 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Chorley?
Hereford FC 1-4 Chorley in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 41%, draw 26%, Chorley 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hereford FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.