Worksop Town 2-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
7%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 35% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.2pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worksop Town
2-0
AWAY Southport
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town beat Southport 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Worksop Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Worksop Town had 44% of the ball to Southport's 56%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Southport?

Worksop Town 2-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 38%, draw 26%, Southport 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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