Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
1.10/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
14.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-3 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United FAK
07.10.2014 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 6-2 HT 3-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
04.02.2014 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-3 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-0
AWAY Maidenhead United
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare nicked a narrow win over Maidenhead United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maidenhead United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 52% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 48%, shots finished 5-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 3.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead United?

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Maidenhead United in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 35%, draw 23%, Maidenhead United 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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