Middelfart 2-2 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.62
1/2
7%
23.2
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
9%
8.35
X/2
21%
4.22
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.35
2/X
10%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 56%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
14.05.2025 Middelfart Middelfart 0-0 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
19.10.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
10.08.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 3-1 HT 2-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
31.05.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-3 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
13.04.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-2 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-2
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
2.83 xG 0.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
308 Passes 451
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart and Aarhus Fremad couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Middelfart had 43% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.83 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Middelfart and 0.67 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad?

Middelfart 2-2 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 23%, draw 27%, Aarhus Fremad 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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