Queretaro 3-2 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.72
No
49%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.99
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
8%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis The Market 46%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.33/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.15
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.2 Crosses 11.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
250 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.08.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
28.02.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
16.07.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-1 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.03.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
12.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
3-2
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.73 xG 2.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
259 Passes 454
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Queretaro shaded a tight game against Atletico San Luis 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

From a near-even 35% / 25% / 40% read, it was Queretaro who turned the coin-flip their way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.

The match data tells the story: Queretaro had 38% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 62%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.73 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queretaro and 2.00 for Atletico San Luis.

Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis Result & Final Score

Queretaro 3-2 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 35%, draw 25%, Atletico San Luis 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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