Newcastle United vs Liverpool Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Premier League, 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle United
vs
Liverpool
📅23/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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England - Premier League – 2026/2027

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Newcastle United v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Season & Recent Form vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored and conceded
  • Attack & Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.03 xG 2.47
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
238 Passes 421
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.01.2026 Liverpool Liverpool 4-1 HT 2-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
25.08.2025 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
16.03.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNLK
26.02.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
04.12.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-3 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
01.01.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 4-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
PREVIEW Newcastle United vs Liverpool
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Liverpool, but not by enough to write Newcastle United off.

Newcastle United's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5; meanwhile, Liverpool's away form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newcastle United and 2.83 for Liverpool.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Kick-off Time

Newcastle United play Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 18:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Newcastle United vs Liverpool is an Liverpool win at about 54% probability, priced 1.87 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Newcastle United 25%, draw 21%, Liverpool 54%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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İNP More England - Premier League
23 Aug 2026
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