Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.23 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
485 Passes 322
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
09.11.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 0-3 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
17.02.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
03.01.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTK
20.08.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-2 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.02.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
PREVIEW Atalanta vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Atalanta clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells. The market agrees emphatically — Atalanta at just 1.53, about 65%.

One side has usually been blanked in Atalanta's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atalanta and 1.17 for Sassuolo.

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Kick-off Time

Atalanta play Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 23/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Atalanta vs Sassuolo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Atalanta vs Sassuolo is a Atalanta win at about 58% probability, priced 1.53 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Atalanta 58%, draw 20%, Sassuolo 23%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
23 Aug 2026
19:30 Frosinone vs YF Juventus Analysis →
19:30 Venezia vs Lecce Analysis →
21:45 Torino vs Milan Analysis →