Puebla vs Santos Laguna Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.74 xG 1.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
317 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2026 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
26.07.2025 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.02.2025 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
06.07.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
31.01.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
08.07.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 2-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
PREVIEW Puebla vs Santos Laguna
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Puebla edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Puebla's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, Santos Laguna's away form is a worry — beaten in 5 of the last 5 in the league.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Puebla and 1.33 for Santos Laguna.

Puebla vs Santos Laguna Kick-off Time

Puebla play Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 23/08/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Puebla vs Santos Laguna Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Puebla vs Santos Laguna is a Puebla win at about 44% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Puebla 44%, draw 24%, Santos Laguna 32%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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