Puebla vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
3-2
HT 2-0
Puebla
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Puebla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Puebla had 59% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 41%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.09 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Puebla's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puebla and 1.50 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Santos Laguna?
Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Puebla 44%, draw 27%, Santos Laguna 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puebla), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.