Queretaro 0-2 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.11/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.88
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.7 Crosses 22.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.82
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
209 Passes 425
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 3-2 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
06.11.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
27.04.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
05.10.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
04.08.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro CONLK
03.04.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
0-2
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.16 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
388 Passes 291
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM beat Queretaro 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Queretaro had 57% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 43%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.16 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queretaro and 1.50 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM?

Queretaro 0-2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 24%, draw 32%, Pumas UNAM 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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