Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2026 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
12.10.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
06.07.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
08.04.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
14.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
05.03.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
PREVIEW Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

CA Penarol edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of CA Penarol's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Deportivo Maldonado against 1.67 for CA Penarol.

Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol Kick-off Time

Deportivo Maldonado play CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 00:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol is an CA Penarol win at about 50% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Deportivo Maldonado 24%, draw 25%, CA Penarol 50%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
23 Aug 2026
17:00 Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →
21:00 Torque vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →