Loudoun United vs New Mexico United Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 23 Aug 2026

Loudoun United
vs
New Mexico United
📅23/08/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USL Championship – 2026

Loudoun United vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Loudoun United v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Loudoun United vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY New Mexico United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
387 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
18.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-3 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
30.05.2021 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-1 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
PREVIEW Loudoun United vs New Mexico United
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

If you want certainty, look elsewhere: our numbers call this one almost dead level.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, New Mexico United lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Loudoun United and 1.33 for New Mexico United.

Loudoun United vs New Mexico United Kick-off Time

Loudoun United play New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 23/08/2026, kick-off 01:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Loudoun United vs New Mexico United Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Loudoun United vs New Mexico United is a Loudoun United win at about 37% probability, priced 2.09 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Loudoun United 37%, draw 25%, New Mexico United 37%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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