Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
372 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2026 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-1 HT 2-1 Lexington Lexington USLP
31.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 Lexington Lexington USLP
13.04.2025 Lexington Lexington 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
PREVIEW Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Lexington clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

Lexington have won 4 of their last 5 home league games; meanwhile, both teams have scored in 4 of Las Vegas Lights's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lexington and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.

Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights Kick-off Time

Lexington play Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 23/08/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights is a Lexington win at about 55% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Lexington 55%, draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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