Las Vegas Lights 2-1 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 3 May 2026

Las Vegas Lights
2-1 HT 2-1
Lexington
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USL Championship – 2026

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.86
2-3
44%
1.71
4-5
18%
3.62
6+
11%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Las Vegas Lights v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington The Market 43%
-11% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
1.18/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.41
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.6 Crosses 12.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lexington
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.36 xG 0.56
44% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
269 Passes 361
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 Lexington Lexington USLP
13.04.2025 Lexington Lexington 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP

Las Vegas Lights 2-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
2-1
AWAY Lexington
1.14 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
318 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Las Vegas Lights came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Lexington 2-1.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 29% / 34%); Las Vegas Lights picked one for it. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

By the numbers, Lexington saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.14 to 1.94 — on chances, Lexington could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Las Vegas Lights against 0.00 for Lexington.

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Result & Final Score

Las Vegas Lights 2-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 37%, draw 29%, Lexington 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
3 May 2026
00:00 Loudoun United vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
01:00 Detroit City vs Louisville City Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs Brooklyn Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →
02:00 Charleston Battery vs Sporting JAX Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Analysis →