Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 23 Aug 2026

Rhode Island
vs
Monterey Bay
📅23/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USL Championship – 2026

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
12%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Rhode Island v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
25.03.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-2 HT 1-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
PREVIEW Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The numbers set this up as Rhode Island's game to lose in front of their own crowd.

Rhode Island's home league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Rhode Island against 1.50 for Monterey Bay.

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Kick-off Time

Rhode Island play Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 23/08/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay is a Rhode Island win at about 68% probability, priced 1.49 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Rhode Island 68%, draw 20%, Monterey Bay 12%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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