Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Louisville City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.79 xG 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Louisville City Louisville City 2-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
31.08.2025 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-3 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
06.10.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-2 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
06.04.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 5-3 HT 2-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
30.07.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 2-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
28.05.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-1 HT 0-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
PREVIEW Indy Eleven vs Louisville City
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Louisville City edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Indy Eleven arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league, and both teams have scored in 4 of Louisville City's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 2.50 for Louisville City.

Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Kick-off Time

Indy Eleven play Louisville City in the USL Championship on 23/08/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Indy Eleven vs Louisville City is an Louisville City win at about 47% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Indy Eleven 26%, draw 27%, Louisville City 47%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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