Meerssen 0-1 Gemert — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%
1.46
No
27%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
73%
BTTS Yes
64%
+8.9pp
27%
BTTS No
36%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meerssen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gemert EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meerssen
0-1
AWAY Gemert
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 12
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Meerssen vs Gemert
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gemert nicked a narrow win over Meerssen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gemert found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (73%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meerssen had 48% of the ball to Gemert's 52%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Meerssen vs Gemert?

Meerssen 0-1 Gemert in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meerssen vs Gemert?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gemert win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Meerssen 35%, draw 25%, Gemert 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gemert) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gemert) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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