USV Hercules 1-3 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USV Hercules EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH USV Hercules vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg beat USV Hercules 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of USV Hercules vs SV Spakenburg?

USV Hercules 1-3 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USV Hercules vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split USV Hercules 25%, draw 21%, SV Spakenburg 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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