Zamalek 1-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.78
6+ Goals
6%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
1.38/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.26
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
19.2 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
4W-1D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
361 Passes 212
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 4-1 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
02.08.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
12.03.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 3-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.08.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-4 HT 0-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
07.03.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 2-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
30.05.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-1
AWAY El Gounah
0.81 xG 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
457 Passes 214
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek and El Gounah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zamalek at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Zamalek had 66% of the ball to El Gounah's 34%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 0.81 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zamalek and 1.00 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs El Gounah?

Zamalek 1-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 56%, draw 31%, El Gounah 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zamalek), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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