Valerenga 1-2 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 23 Sep 2025

Valerenga
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Fredrikstad
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2025/2026

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.18
Over
58%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.09
2-3
45%
1.82
4-5
27%
2.82
6+
8%
8.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Valerenga v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Valerenga The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad The Market 36%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.89 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
Great Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
368 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.07.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
09.04.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.10.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
16.02.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 0-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
01.10.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.05.2012 Valerenga Valerenga 3-2 HT 3-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Valerenga 1-2 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
1 - 2
AWAY Fredrikstad
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fredrikstad came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Valerenga 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Valerenga at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in Valerenga's favour, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Valerenga against 1.67 for Fredrikstad.

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Result & Final Score

Valerenga 1 - 2 Fredrikstad in the Norway - NM Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 42%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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