Gryf Wejherowo 1-0 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
69%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.8pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.8pp
69%
Away Win
75%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gryf Wejherowo EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 80%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+40% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gryf Wejherowo
1-0
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gryf Wejherowo vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gryf Wejherowo edged past Polonia Warszawa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Polonia Warszawa carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gryf Wejherowo had 30% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 70%, shots finished 7-26.

What was the final score of Gryf Wejherowo vs Polonia Warszawa?

Gryf Wejherowo 1-0 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gryf Wejherowo vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Gryf Wejherowo 17%, draw 15%, Polonia Warszawa 69%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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