Atletico Madrid U19 1-1 Lille U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

Atletico Madrid U19
1-1 HT 0-1
Lille U19
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Atletico Madrid U19 vs Lille U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid U19 v Lille U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/3.56
+50% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
11.0 Crosses 11.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atletico Madrid U19 1-1 Lille U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid U19
1-1
AWAY Lille U19
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid U19 vs Lille U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid U19 and Lille U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Madrid U19 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid U19 had 59% of the ball to Lille U19's 41%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid U19 vs Lille U19?

Atletico Madrid U19 1-1 Lille U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid U19 vs Lille U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid U19 56%, draw 21%, Lille U19 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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