Auxerre U19 5-0 Valletta U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
1.0
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Auxerre U19 win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
84%
-22.5pp
17%
Draw
8%
+9.3pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre U19 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +136%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
342 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 179 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre U19
5-0
AWAY Valletta U19
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auxerre U19 vs Valletta U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre U19 ran out comfortable winners over Valletta U19 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auxerre U19 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Auxerre U19 had 62% of the ball to Valletta U19's 38%, shots finished 22-2.

What was the final score of Auxerre U19 vs Valletta U19?

Auxerre U19 5-0 Valletta U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre U19 vs Valletta U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Auxerre U19 62%, draw 17%, Valletta U19 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre U19), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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