Manchester City U19 3-0 Sparta Prag U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.78
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
11.4
2-3 Goals
32%
2.71
4-5 Goals
30%
2.3
6+ Goals
19%
3.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
82%
-22.9pp
24%
Draw
10%
+14.5pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U19 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U19
3-0
AWAY Sparta Prag U19
3.18 xG 0.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
534 Passes 298
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester City U19 vs Sparta Prag U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U19 swept aside Sparta Prag U19 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City U19 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City U19 had 62% of the ball to Sparta Prag U19's 38%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 3.18 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Manchester City U19 vs Sparta Prag U19?

Manchester City U19 3-0 Sparta Prag U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U19 vs Sparta Prag U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U19 59%, draw 24%, Sparta Prag U19 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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