Salzburg U19 3-2 Dinamo Zagreb U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-1.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.28/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.90
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 80%
39.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.5 Crosses 7.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg U19
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 0.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
222 Passes 294
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2022 Dinamo Zagreb U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19 2-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg U19 Salzburg U19 UEGL
05.10.2022 Salzburg U19 Salzburg U19 2-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg U19
3-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19
2.50 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
290 Passes 201
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg U19 nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Zagreb U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg U19 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg U19 had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb U19's 44%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.50 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salzburg U19's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salzburg U19 and 1.00 for Dinamo Zagreb U19.

What was the final score of Salzburg U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19?

Salzburg U19 3-2 Dinamo Zagreb U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Salzburg U19 61%, draw 19%, Dinamo Zagreb U19 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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