Aguila 1-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 23 Oct 2025

Aguila
1-1 HT 1-0
FAS
📅23/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
+31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FAS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.08.2025 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.05.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
08.05.2025 FAS FAS 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
31.03.2025 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.12.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and FAS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 1.00 for FAS.

What was the final score of Aguila vs FAS?

Aguila 1-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Aguila 34%, draw 33%, FAS 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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