Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.63/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
+72% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.58 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 251
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
25.05.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
14.03.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
28.11.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
03.09.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 3-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow nicked a narrow win over Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baltika Kaliningrad at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 46% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 54%, shots finished 8-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 2.00 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 41%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Moscow 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ BTTS Yes
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