Krasnodar 3-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.95/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.24
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Sochi
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
420 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-4 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
17.08.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 5-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
18.05.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
30.07.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
15.04.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
03.09.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
3-0
AWAY FC Sochi
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar ran out comfortable winners over FC Sochi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Krasnodar had 59% of the ball to FC Sochi's 41%, shots finished 25-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs FC Sochi?

Krasnodar 3-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - Cup on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 60%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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