Hampton & Richmond 2-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.14
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aveley
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
28.08.2023 Aveley Aveley 3-0 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2-0
AWAY Aveley
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond beat Aveley 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hampton & Richmond as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 66% of the ball to Aveley's 34%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aveley led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 2.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley?

Hampton & Richmond 2-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 51%, draw 24%, Aveley 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond)
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