South Shields 5-1 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.71
-15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.01.2024 South Shields South Shields 2-1 HT 1-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
15.08.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
5-1
AWAY Farsley AFC
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields cruised past Farsley AFC 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had South Shields as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, South Shields had 59% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 41%, shots finished 22-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, South Shields had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for South Shields and 1.00 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Farsley AFC?

South Shields 5-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split South Shields 52%, draw 26%, Farsley AFC 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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