South Shields 2-1 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.09
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.53/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.78
-20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.08.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-1 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
2-1
AWAY Farsley AFC
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields edged past Farsley AFC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had South Shields as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, South Shields had 63% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 37%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Farsley AFC?

South Shields 2-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split South Shields 59%, draw 20%, Farsley AFC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ BTTS No
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