Mansfield Town 0-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
14%
4.16
X/2
10%
9.07
X/X
12%
5.34
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
12%
6.73
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.21/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.49
+29% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.0 Crosses 14.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 0.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 164
66% Pass Accuracy 60%
24 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
07.08.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
12.03.2016 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
17.10.2015 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
03.05.2014 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
12.10.2013 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.56 xG 1.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
328 Passes 220
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers squeezed past Mansfield Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 59% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 41%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.56 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mansfield Town and 0.83 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Mansfield Town 0-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 46%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mansfield Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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