AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

AFC Wimbledon
0-1 HT 0-0
Walsall
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.77
X/2
12%
6.26
X/X
16%
4.13
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.81
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Wimbledon v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.36/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.21
+12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.5 Crosses 16.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Walsall
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
276 Passes 174
63% Pass Accuracy 55%
25 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-3 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
28.03.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
08.10.2022 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
12.02.2019 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
21.08.2018 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-3 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
14.04.2018 Walsall Walsall 2-3 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1

AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0-1
AWAY Walsall
0.91 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
237 Passes 163
67% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall edged past AFC Wimbledon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Wimbledon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 57% of the ball to Walsall's 43%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.91 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.50 for Walsall.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall?

AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 41%, draw 31%, Walsall 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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