Chesterfield vs Barrow Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesterfield v Barrow — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Barrow Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Barrow
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Barrow
İBSL
3-2
HT 1-1
Chesterfield
İBSL
Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield squeezed past Barrow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Chesterfield had 63% of the ball to Barrow's 37%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.90 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chesterfield and 1.67 for Barrow.
What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Barrow?
Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Barrow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 40%, draw 28%, Barrow 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.