Carlisle United 0-0 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

Carlisle United
0-0 HT 0-0
Doncaster Rovers
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Carlisle United vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.7
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
8%
8.72
X/2
15%
4.35
X/X
15%
4.79
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.44
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carlisle United v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.11/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.61
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
19.9 Crosses 24.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Carlisle United vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.81 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
200 Passes 294
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.01.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
15.10.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 3-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
29.11.2020 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-2 HT 0-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK
14.02.2017 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
27.09.2016 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-2 HT 2-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
09.04.2013 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN1

Carlisle United 0-0 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
0-0
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.93 xG 0.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
261 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 49
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Carlisle United had 49% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 51%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.93 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carlisle United and 1.17 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Doncaster Rovers?

Carlisle United 0-0 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 28%, draw 26%, Doncaster Rovers 46%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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