Notts County 0-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2024

Notts County
0-0 HT 0-0
Newport County
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.55
X/1
22%
3.66
X/2
4%
15.95
X/X
5%
7.5
2/1
5%
21.1
2/2
14%
11.9
2/X
9%
19.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.95/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.55
+51% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
20.4 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Notts County vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Newport County
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.54 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
484 Passes 226
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.02.2024 Newport County Newport County 1-3 HT 0-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
24.10.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 2-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
19.02.2019 Notts County Notts County 1-4 HT 1-3 Newport County Newport County İN2
21.08.2018 Newport County Newport County 3-2 HT 2-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
17.02.2018 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
28.10.2017 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2

Notts County 0-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
0-0
AWAY Newport County
2.20 xG 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
416 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
45 Box Touches 7
39 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County and Newport County fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Notts County at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Notts County had 59% of the ball to Newport County's 41%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.20 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Notts County and 1.33 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Newport County?

Notts County 0-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Notts County 55%, draw 21%, Newport County 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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