SPAL 1-0 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.80/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.09
-31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 SPAL SPAL 0-2 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
29.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
1-0
AWAY Sassari Torres
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL edged past Sassari Torres 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day SPAL made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, SPAL had 48% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 52%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SPAL and 1.50 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Sassari Torres?

SPAL 1-0 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SPAL 32%, draw 32%, Sassari Torres 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sassari Torres) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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