Wacker Burghausen 1-3 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.98/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.08
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Vilzing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
09.08.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 0-3 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
28.03.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
29.07.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing got the better of Wacker Burghausen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wacker Burghausen at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wacker Burghausen and 1.25 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Vilzing?

Wacker Burghausen 1-3 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wacker Burghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 55%, draw 22%, Vilzing 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wacker Burghausen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wacker Burghausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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