Sturm Graz 7-0 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
14%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.05
X/1
16%
3.51
X/2
11%
15.9
X/X
9%
6.6
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
5%
12.95
2/X
8%
20.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.2pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
2.05/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.24
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 66%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.3 Crosses 12.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.01 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
341 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
19.05.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
17.03.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-4 HT 0-4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.11.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.08.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
14.05.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-1 HT 2-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
7-0
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
3.67 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
359 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz cruised past Austria Klagenfurt 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 50% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 50%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.67 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.17 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Sturm Graz 7-0 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 54%, draw 24%, Austria Klagenfurt 21%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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