Operario PR 2-1 Ferroviaria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Nov 2025

Operario PR
2-1 HT 0-1
Ferroviaria
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Operario PR vs Ferroviaria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario PR v Ferroviaria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferroviaria EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.9 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Operario PR vs Ferroviaria Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ferroviaria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.14 xG 0.24
77% Ball Possession 23%
26 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 4
482 Passes 112
88% Pass Accuracy 65%
39 Box Touches 10
40 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.07.2025 Ferroviaria Ferroviaria 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2

Operario PR 2-1 Ferroviaria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
2-1
AWAY Ferroviaria
2.77 xG 0.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
290 Passes 202
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Ferroviaria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR edged past Ferroviaria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Operario PR made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Operario PR had 61% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 39%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.77 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Operario PR's control.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Ferroviaria?

Operario PR 2-1 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Ferroviaria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferroviaria win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 31%, draw 33%, Ferroviaria 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferroviaria), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferroviaria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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