Kagoshima United 1-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Nov 2025

Kagoshima United
1-1 HT 0-1
Ryukyu
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
68%
+0.0pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.1pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Ryukyu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.83
+22% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.8 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.05.2025 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-2 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
11.11.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
14.05.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
07.09.2019 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2

Kagoshima United 1-1 Ryukyu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-1
AWAY Ryukyu
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 4
436 Passes 214
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United and Ryukyu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Kagoshima United carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 64% of the ball to Ryukyu's 36%, shots finished 26-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.25 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu?

Kagoshima United 1-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 68%, draw 17%, Ryukyu 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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