Tochigi City 3-0 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
2.14/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.96
+12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 16.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
93 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-2 Tochigi City Tochigi City JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
3-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
276 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City cruised past Parceiro Nagano 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tochigi City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Tochigi City had 55% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 45%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Parceiro Nagano?

Tochigi City 3-0 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 60%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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