Tochigi SC 2-1 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.87/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.81
+2% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
258 Passes 211
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-1 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
2-1
AWAY Gainare Tottori
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
271 Passes 441
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC squeezed past Gainare Tottori 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tochigi SC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 41% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 59%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori?

Tochigi SC 2-1 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 56%, draw 24%, Gainare Tottori 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi SC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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