ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Matsumoto Yamaga — Team-Based Signals
ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
2-0
HT 1-0
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
JAP2
1-3
HT 0-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 6-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Actual Match Statistics
ThespaKusatsu Gunma cruised past Matsumoto Yamaga 6-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; ThespaKusatsu Gunma found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 56% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 44%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.17 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 6-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 38%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 35%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.